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The third installment of the International Bowl from Toronto, Canada kicks off on Saturday at noon eastern, as everyone gets ready for another big day of football. The NFL wildcard playoffs can wait though, as UConn takes on Buffalo as a 4-1/2 point favor



2008-12-31

The third installment of the International Bowl from Toronto, Canada kicks off on Saturday at noon eastern, as everyone gets ready for another big day of football. The NFL wildcard playoffs can wait though, as UConn takes on Buffalo as a 4-1/2 point favorite. The Huskies are the betting choice of 84% of early players at last check.

What a year for Buffalo U., they win the MAC East, upset undefeated Ball State in the conference championship and play in first ever bowl game in nearby Toronto. From a confidence standpoint, QB Drew Willy and teammates have to love the role of underdog, being 7-0 ATS this year with four outright upsets. Though the season ended with two losses, Connecticut goes bowling for the second year in a row. If desired, the Huskies can dog Buffalo, being superior on the defensive side of the ball. If UConn cranks up running game, they'll move to 26-11 ATS after a non-cover. Buffalo will be pumped to be in the contest and if they can stay within reach, the momentum could take them to 10-2 ATS off win.

International Bowl Series Trend: There have been two previous International Bowl games in Toronto, matching the Big East and MAC conferences. The BCS conference has won both games outright but the ATS ledger is split 1/1 The OVER is also 2-0. At -4.5, UConn will be the lowest line favorite from the Big East yet.

Top ATS Trend
• BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog this season. The average score was BUFFALO 31.3, OPPONENT 30.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Top Totals Trend
• BUFFALO is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1999. The average score was BUFFALO 15.1, OPPONENT 36.6 - (Rating = 2*)

Recent BUFFALO Bowl Game Trends
* This is Buffalo's first bowl game appearance ever.

Recent CONNECTICUT Bowl Game Trends
* CONNECTICUT won its only prior bowl game vs. the MAC, 39-10 in '04.
* CONNECTICUT has never been a bowl game favorite.
* UNDER the total is 2-0 in prior two CONNECTICUT bowl games.

StatFox Power Ratings say: CONNECTICUT by 4


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